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ILA Series • Paper 2

Anti-Learning Regimes

Diagnosing when institutions optimise against evidence—and measuring the structural forces that prevent genuine update.

SDGs:
16
17
9

The 60-Second Version

Why do institutions accumulate evidence while repeating failure?

Anti-learning isn't just failing to learn—it's a structural configuration where the institution actively resists evidence that challenges its current operation. Learning-like activity happens (training, reports, feedback) but the institution becomes progressively more rigid rather than more adaptive.

This paper provides diagnostic metrics for identifying anti-learning regimes: Update Suppression Rates, Feedback Penalty Gradients, Model Rigidity Indices, and Authority-Evidence Coupling measures.

The goal isn't to blame individuals—it's to diagnose structural conditions where learning is safe but ineffective.

The Core Insight

Anti-Learning Regime

Structural configuration where:

  • Evidence is abundant but change is absent
  • Feedback is costly to deliver
  • Models are defended rather than tested
  • Authority trumps evidence systematically

Learning Architecture

Structural configuration where:

  • Evidence triggers genuine update
  • Uncomfortable truths are protected
  • Models are updated, not defended
  • Evidence has structural authority

Four Types of Anti-Learning Regimes

Anti-learning takes different forms depending on the dominant structural force:

Confirmation Regime

Information is filtered to support existing conclusions. Contradictory evidence is dismissed as noise or bias.

Symptom: Decision-makers only hear what confirms their view

Bureaucratic Regime

Learning is processed through procedures that neutralise its force. Evidence becomes paperwork.

Symptom: Lessons learned exercises produce reports that change nothing

Political Regime

Learning is blocked because it threatens power arrangements. Truth-telling is punished.

Symptom: Honest assessment is career-limiting

Sclerotic Regime

The institution has learned so well in the past that it can no longer update. Success breeds rigidity.

Symptom: Past success used as evidence that change isn't needed

These regimes often combine and reinforce. A bureaucratic regime may protect a political regime. A confirmation regime may develop into a sclerotic one. Diagnosis requires identifying the dominant pattern.

Where This Applies

Regulatory Bodies

Agencies that accumulate failure reports but never change approach. Classic confirmation regimes.

Universities

Institutions with high legitimacy investments that make evidence "dangerous" when it challenges foundational narratives.

Healthcare Systems

Organisations where bureaucratic regimes neutralise clinical learning through paperwork and compliance.

Corporations

Companies where political regimes make honest assessment career-limiting and confirmation regimes filter information to leadership.

Part of the ILA Series

Common Questions

How is an anti-learning regime different from just failing to learn?

Failure to learn is passive—the institution simply doesn't update. An anti-learning regime is active—the institution has structural mechanisms that resist update. The more evidence arrives, the more rigid the response.

Can an institution be in multiple anti-learning regimes?

Yes. Regimes often combine. A confirmation regime may be protected by a political regime (truth-telling is punished). A bureaucratic regime may mask a sclerotic one (past success justified by process compliance).

What's the point of diagnosing if change is so hard?

Diagnosis enables targeted intervention. A confirmation regime requires different architecture than a political regime. Generic "culture change" fails because it doesn't address the specific structural forces blocking update.

Read the Paper

Explore the full diagnostic framework for identifying anti-learning regimes.

View Paper

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