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A stable equilibrium state where institutions cannot escape anti-learning even when aware of it. Lock-in occurs when the costs of learning (legitimacy threat, authority erosion) exceed perceived benefits at every decision point—making non-learning locally rational even when globally destructive.
A regulator knows its model is outdated but updating would invalidate past decisions, expose liability, and threaten careers. Every actor faces incentives to maintain the status quo, even as collective harm accumulates.
ILA-LLR Section 3