LGIT Evidence Layer

Pilot Studies

Applying the Legitimacy–Grievance–Institutional Trajectory framework to Australian longitudinal data sources

481 obs · 56 series

HILDA × LGIT

The Legitimacy Gap: Australia 2018-2023

A narrative-driven analysis of psychological distress, labour-distress decoupling, WFH reversion, and structural asymmetries using longitudinal evidence from HILDA Statistical Reports.

+60%
Distress Surge
2.2×
Youth vs Average
-2.4%
Real Wages
+14.5pp
Reversion Penalty
Analysis Features
  • Grievance persistence analysis
  • Labour-distress decoupling
  • WFH reversion penalty measurement
  • Structural asymmetry tracking
2,000+ obs · 12 series

Scanlon × LGIT

Detecting fragility cycles in Australian social cohesion

Applying the LGIT framework to 10 years of Scanlon Foundation data (2015-2024) to identify whether social indicators are recovering, stalling, or entering fragility cycles.

-23pp
Trust Decay
+18pp
Division Spike
+8pp
Discrimination
Stalled
Recovery
Analysis Features
  • Legitimacy decay rate calculation
  • Crisis sensitivity index
  • Inverse relationship detection
  • Subgroup asymmetry analysis

What is LGIT?

The Legitimacy–Grievance–Institutional Trajectory framework is a diagnostic approach for understanding social contract strain through longitudinal data.

Legitimacy

The implicit social contract between individuals and institutions. Measured through trust, satisfaction, and perceived fairness.

Grievance

Experienced strain that may activate into political or social action. Tracked through distress, discrimination, and material hardship.

Trajectory

The direction of change over time. Is the system recovering, stalling, or entering fragility cycles?