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Pilot 2

Social Cohesion & Identity Persistence

LGIT analysis of Australian social cohesion using Scanlon Foundation survey data (2015-2024). A 10-year longitudinal dataset detecting whether trust, belonging, and identity-related perceptions recover, stall, or harden over time.

Overall Cohesion (2024)
78
Down from 89 (2020 peak)
Trust in Govt (2024)
33%
Down from 54% (2020 peak)
Division Perception
60%
Up from 51% (2021)
Discrimination Gap
21pp
Max-min across groups

Scanlon Index (2015-2024)

10-year longitudinal cohesion scores across five domains

Index baseline = 100

Trust in Federal Government

Post-COVID decline: from 54% (2020 peak) to 33% (2024)

Belonging & Pride

Sustained decline in "great extent" responses

Perception: Australia More Divided

Rising fracture signal: 51% (2021) → 60% (2024)

Category Salience Index (CSI)

Composite of discrimination + division perception

Trajectory Classifications

Each Scanlon domain classified by gap from baseline and recent trend

Sense of belonging
RR: -9% | PI: 2 years
Hardening
Sense of worth
RR: 0% | PI: 0 years
At Baseline
Social inclusion & justice
RR: -17% | PI: 2 years
Hardening
Acceptance & rejection
RR: -2% | PI: 0 years
At Baseline
Overall cohesion
RR: -6% | PI: 2 years
Hardening

Trust in Institutions (2024)

Percentage who trust "all or most of the time"

Asymmetry Analysis: Discrimination

Discrimination experience varies significantly by birthplace and language background. High divergence indicates fragility hidden by population averages.

2024 by Subgroup
Gap Over Time (Max-Min)
2024 Asymmetry
Max Group
Overseas-born (non-English)
34%
Min Group
Australian-born
13%
LGIT Signal

The 21pp gap between groups indicates structural persistence—category salience is not decaying despite overall cohesion changes. This heterogeneity signals uneven condition evolution.

Data Source

All data extracted from Scanlon Foundation "Mapping Social Cohesion" reports (2015-2024). The Scanlon Index is computed annually by the Scanlon-Monash Index of Social Cohesion research team. Note: 2018 marks transition to Life in Australia™ online panel. This dashboard applies LGIT (Legitimacy Governance over Institutional Time) metrics to detect temporal patterns in social cohesion indicators.

Source: Scanlon FoundationYears: 2015-2024 (10 years)Framework: LGITNote: 2017-2018 methodology transition